House Water Temperature Profile

I have noticed that my water appears to run hotter in the morning when I get up vs later on in the day. In truth this is probably due to relative temperature where in the morning I am colder and so things appear warmed but I still wanted to find out how much my water temperature changed throughout the day if at all.

Looking at the temperature profile throughout the day I saw some interesting spikes that occurred like clockwork at 5am. Breaking this into minitab and looking at the temperature intervals vs hour we find that there is indeed a statistically significant difference in the morning at 5-6am vs later on.

The cause is most likely that I have my heating turn on at this time and this is likely heating up the water in the pipes leading to this rise in temperature and thus leading some credence to my theory that the water is warmer in the morning. Of note the temperature sensor is on the outside of the pipe so potentially I am seeing the warm air heat up the sensor rather than the actual water but I used thermal compound to make good contact with the pipe and it is copper after all so thermal conductivity should be good.

Temperature probe taped to water mains pipe.